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If the target creature is a legal target but isn't destroyed, most likely because it has indestructible, you'll still draw a card if another creature died this turn

The +1 slows down your opponent's best attacker, and the potentially huge chunk of mill with the -X ability can close out games

However, according to the video, the quality of the actual box packaging itself seems a little off

Here are the Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate Precon decklists

(2017-07-14) If a replacement effect allows a player to modify or replace an event by putting counters on an artifact, creature, enchantment, or land, that player may apply that replacement effect

You can't change your mind and choose not to sacrifice anything